Liga MX | 1st Leg
Oct 28, 2022 at 2.06am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 5Pachuca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pachuca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
33.9% ( -0.01) | 24.38% ( -0) | 41.72% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.8% ( 0.01) | 43.19% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.41% ( 0.02) | 65.59% ( -0.02) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( 0) | 24.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.54% ( 0) | 59.45% ( -0) |
Pachuca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( 0.01) | 20.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% ( 0.02) | 53.49% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Toluca 33.9%
Pachuca 41.72%
Draw 24.37%
Toluca | Draw | Pachuca |
2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.72% |
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 6pm
Sep 14, 2021 3am
Mar 14, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 10
Toluca
0-2
Pachuca
Sep 25, 2020 3am
Gameweek 12
Pachuca
0-0
Toluca
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Winner Semi-final 1
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-02 11:28:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 40 |
2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 33 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
5 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
8 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
11 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
12 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
13 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
17 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 |
18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
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