Toluca

3 - 1

Tigres

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.