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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Nice

Auxerre
1 - 1
Nice

da Costa (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Delort (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Slovacko
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Auxerre 0-2 Nice

Nice's confidence is not exactly at its peak right now, but Dante's suspension should force Favre into fielding a more attack-minded setup this weekend, potentially with the Andy Delort-Gaetan Laborde partnership being renewed. The new manager bounce would go down a treat with Auxerre fans right now, but it is difficult to picture the hosts putting the youthful Aiglons backline under any real duress, and we have faith in the visitors to get over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Nice had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
AuxerreDrawNice
40.21% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.35%32.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.25% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.85%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.65% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 40.2%
    Nice 32.44%
    Draw 27.35%
AuxerreDrawNice
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.05%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.2%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.35%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.67%
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.44%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Nice

Auxerre
28.1%
Draw
18.8%
Nice
53.1%
32
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2018 5.45pm
Nice
3-2
Auxerre
Maolida (17'), Walter (41', 80' pen.)
Dugimont (57'), Philippoteaux (82')
Ba (22'), Adeoti (90')
Marcelin (87')
Apr 21, 2012 4pm
Dec 11, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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