Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.