Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.