Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
38.9% | 26.21% | 34.89% |
Both teams to score 53.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.8% | 51.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.96% | 73.04% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% | 25.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% | 60.72% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% | 28.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.25% | 63.75% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |