Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
37.56% | 27.21% | 35.23% |
Both teams to score 50.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.75% | 55.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.52% | 76.48% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% | 28.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.8% | 64.2% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% | 29.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.05% | 65.94% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |