Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
37.56% | 27.21% | 35.23% |
Both teams to score 50.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.75% | 55.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.52% | 76.48% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% | 28.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.8% | 64.2% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.14% | 29.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.05% | 65.94% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |