Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.