Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lens |
| 27.73% | 25.92% | 46.35% |
| Both teams to score 51.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.51% | 52.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.84% | 74.16% |
| Bordeaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% | 33.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.65% | 70.34% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% | 22.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% | 56.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bordeaux | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.73% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 4.54% 0-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.34% |