Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.