Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.