Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monaco in this match.