Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Lens had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.08%) and 1-3 (4.8%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.