Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
54.92% | 24.67% | 20.42% |
Both teams to score 47.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.18% | 53.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.71% | 75.29% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.46% | 19.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.57% | 51.43% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.88% | 41.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.34% | 77.66% |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 5.18% 4-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.83% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.25% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |