Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.