Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lorient0 - 2Rennes
We said: Lorient 1-2 Rennes
Local derbies always throw a curveball into the mix but Rennes still go into this match as favourites. Eight victories in their last 10 games is too strong to ignore and Lorient look set to see their winless run continue. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
| 23.59% | 25.26% | 51.15% |
| Both teams to score 49.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.08% | 52.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% | 74.52% |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% | 37.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.77% | 74.22% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% | 20.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 23.59%
Rennes 51.14%
Draw 25.26%
| Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.89% 2-0 @ 3.74% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.59% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 12.2% 0-2 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-3 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-4 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.14% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Rennes
Lorient
19.4%Draw
9.7%Rennes
71.0%31
