Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.