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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Brest logo

Marseille
3 - 1
Brest

Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawBrest
52.02%25.08%22.89%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.13%52.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51%74.48%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68%20.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3%52.7%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.92%38.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16%74.84%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.01%
    Brest 22.89%
    Draw 25.08%
MarseilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.22%
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 22.89%

How you voted: Marseille vs Brest

Marseille
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Brest
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
Apr 5, 2020 8pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Marseille
2-1
Brest
Sarr (56'), Radonjic (89')
Cardona (88')
Diallo (20'), Mendy (98')
Apr 20, 2013 4pm
Dec 2, 2012 1pm
Brest
1-2
Marseille
Benshop (42')
Lesoimier (74'), Dernis (87'), Chafni (90')
Diawara (34'), Ayew (56')
N'Koulou (2'), Cheyrou (25'), Ayew (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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14-28
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6pm
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@
Bills
9.30pm
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@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269


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