Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Dijon |
58.12% | 23.49% | 18.4% |
Both teams to score 47.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.16% | 51.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.4% | 73.6% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.41% | 17.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.85% | 48.16% |
Dijon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.78% | 42.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.38% | 78.63% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Dijon |
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 5.6% 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |