Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
58.62% | 23.23% | 18.15% |
Both teams to score 47.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.81% | 51.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.96% | 73.03% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.82% | 17.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.57% | 47.43% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.86% | 42.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.44% | 78.55% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 5.7% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.61% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.78% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.85% Total : 18.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |