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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Feb 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lyon

Marseille
1 - 1
Lyon

Milik (44' pen.)
Kamara (64'), Payet (78'), Gonzalez (81'), Gueye (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Toko Ekambi (21')
Paqueta (42'), Mendes (78'), Depay (81')
Paqueta (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Marseille win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawLyon
22.04%22.24%55.72%
Both teams to score 57.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18%41.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78%64.22%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3%32.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74%69.25%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11%14.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.76%43.24%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 22.04%
    Lyon 55.72%
    Draw 22.24%
MarseilleDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.79%
1-0 @ 5.44%
2-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.04%
1-1 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 5.52%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.27%
0-2 @ 8.83%
1-3 @ 6.27%
0-3 @ 5.61%
2-3 @ 3.5%
1-4 @ 2.99%
0-4 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.14%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 55.72%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lyon

Marseille
29.0%
Draw
16.1%
Lyon
54.8%
31
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 6
Lyon
1-1
Marseille
Aouar (28' pen.)
Guimaraes (86')
Payet (16')
Caleta-Car (4'), Bamba (45+4')
Payet (19')
Apr 19, 2020 8pm
Feb 12, 2020 8.05pm
Quarter-Finals
Lyon
1-0
Marseille
Aouar (81')
Tete (17'), Caqueret (89')

Strootman (37'), Sanson (49'), Sakai (69')
Nov 10, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 13
Marseille
2-1
Lyon
Payet (18' pen., 39')
Sarr (10'), Alvaro (46'), Rongier (83')
Alvaro (64')
Dembele (59')
May 12, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 36
Marseille
0-3
Lyon

Balotelli (31'), Amavi (34'), Strootman (87')
Caleta-Car (67')
Cornet (24', 86'), Dembele (84')
Terrier (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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