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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Montpellier

Marseille
3 - 1
Montpellier

Radonjic (41'), Payet (80'), Germain (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mollet (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
51.36%25.61%23.04%
Both teams to score 48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.27%54.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95%76.05%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69%54.31%
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02%38.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3%75.71%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 51.36%
    Montpellier HSC 23.04%
    Draw 25.61%
MarseilleDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 12.85%
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.36%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.84%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.04%

How you voted: Marseille vs Montpellier

Marseille
56.8%
Draw
29.6%
Montpellier HSC
13.6%
81
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 4.30pm
Sep 21, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Marseille
1-1
Montpellier
Germain (74')
Amavi (19'), Strootman (66'), Payet (92')
Kamara (91'), Payet (93')
Sarr (17' og.)
Souquet (22'), Oyongo (44'), Mendes (59')
Ferri (91')
May 24, 2019 8.05pm
Gameweek 38
Marseille
1-0
Montpellier
Thauvin (56')
Sanson (11'), Hubocan (89')
Balotelli (87')
Nov 4, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
3-0
Marseille
Laborde (51', 62'), Lasne (70')

Thauvin (30'), Sanson (54'), Gustavo (88')
Apr 8, 2018 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille17113339201936
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
11Auxerre176472426-222
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


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