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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
3 - 1
Nantes

Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
38.05%29.2%32.75%
Both teams to score 44.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.31%62.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.76%82.24%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17%31.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73%68.26%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65%35.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89%72.11%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 38.05%
    Nantes 32.75%
    Draw 29.19%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.81%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.19%
0-1 @ 11.7%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 6.08%
1-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.75%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 26
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
Aug 17, 2019 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Nantes
0-0
Marseille
Sanson (42'), Kamara (48'), Strootman (88')
Apr 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 34
Marseille
1-2
Nantes
Balotelli (25')
Ocampos (17'), Payet (32'), Balotelli (41'), Gustavo (45')
Moutoussamy (22'), Girotto (50')
Traore (42')
Dec 5, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
3-2
Marseille
Sala (30'), Toure (45'), Boschilia (64')
Sanson (28'), Thauvin (36' pen.)
Strootman (15')
Mar 4, 2018 8pm
Marseille
1-1
Nantes
Thauvin (90')
Gustavo (4'), Rami (54'), Amavi (69')
Dubois (11')
Dubois (35'), Pallois (39'), Girotto (87')
Pallois (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1777226161028
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Brest177192630-422
10Auxerre176372426-221
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims175572325-220
13Rennes1752102325-217
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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