Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Troyes |
58.38% | 22.55% | 19.07% |
Both teams to score 51.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.89% | 47.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% | 69.35% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% | 15.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55% | 45% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.3% | 38.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.56% | 75.44% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.26% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |