Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Metz had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monaco in this match.
