Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 27.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-2 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Lille |
27.39% | 28.41% | 44.2% |
Both teams to score 44.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.36% | 61.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.53% | 81.47% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.06% | 38.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.33% | 75.66% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% | 27.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% | 63.38% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.52% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 13.85% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-3 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.21% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.71% Total : 44.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |