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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Lorient logo

Metz
4 - 1
Lorient

Sarr (5'), Jenz (9' og.), Boulaya (19'), Niane (80')
Pajot (49'), Sarr (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Jenz (69')
Abergel (17'), Laporte (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Metz 1-1 Lorient

When you look at the storylines heading into this match with Metz being so poor at home but Lorient struggling as much on the road, it seems like a draw is the logical result given that neither team have been exceptional in any one department this season, but they usually do just enough to get by once in a while. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
MetzDrawLorient
40.84%27.94%31.22%
Both teams to score 47.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.35%58.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.8%79.2%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.81%28.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11%63.89%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69%34.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99%71.01%
Score Analysis
    Metz 40.83%
    Lorient 31.22%
    Draw 27.94%
MetzDrawLorient
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.75%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Metz vs Lorient

Metz
59.0%
Draw
28.2%
Lorient
12.8%
39
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 37
Lorient
2-1
Metz
Wissa (31' pen.), Hergault (74')
Grbic (90+1')
Traore (72')
Kouyate (23'), Bronn (30'), Ambrose (65'), Centonze (84')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 6
Metz
3-1
Lorient
Niane (44' pen., 59', 64')
Angban (40')
Hamel (36')
Abergel (52'), Wissa (86')
Mar 31, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 30
Metz
2-1
Lorient
Diallo (30' pen.), Gakpa (77')
Boulaya (87')
Nguette (34')
Claude Maurice (82')
Meslier (28'), Sissoko (54'), Sarr (67'), Lemoine (90')
Oct 26, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 12
Lorient
0-0
Metz
Le Goff (40'), Mendes (55')
Diallo (90')
Rivierez (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG19145049173247
2Marseille19114440231737
3MonacoMonaco19104532221034
4Nice1996438251333
5Lille1988329191032
6Lyon198653023730
7Lens198652318530
8Brest199192931-228
9StrasbourgStrasbourg197663331227
10Toulouse197482021-125
11Auxerre196582529-423
12Reims195772527-222
13Angers196492128-722
14NantesNantes193972229-718
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1953111839-2118
16Rennes1952122630-417
17Montpellier HSCMontpellier1943122044-2415
18Le HavreLe Havre1941141438-2413


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