Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
55.64% | 24.14% | 20.22% |
Both teams to score 48.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.95% | 52.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.22% | 73.78% |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% | 18.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.15% | 49.85% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.7% | 40.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.07% | 76.93% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 12.6% 2-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 5.41% 4-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.8% 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |