Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Metz had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Rennes |
29.49% | 27.68% | 42.82% |
Both teams to score 47.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.69% | 58.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.07% | 78.93% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.58% | 35.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.81% | 72.18% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% | 26.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% | 62.28% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.49% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 12.51% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |