Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
35.21% | 26.99% | 37.8% |
Both teams to score 50.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.61% | 54.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.23% | 75.76% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% | 29.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.55% | 65.44% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% | 27.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% | 63.5% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
7 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
8 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |