Neither side have been spectacular in the early portion of 2022, but Nantes have looked the more well-balanced of the two, and they tend to react better when facing adversity, whereas Lorient seem to fall apart if things do not go their way.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
