Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Lens had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nice in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nice.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lens |
37.74% | 27.14% | 35.12% |
Both teams to score 50.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.01% | 54.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.74% | 76.26% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.79% | 28.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.09% | 63.9% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% | 29.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.13% | 65.87% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.4% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |