Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Nice had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Nice win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Marseille |
23.69% | 25.92% | 50.39% |
Both teams to score 47.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.69% | 55.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.48% | 76.52% |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% | 38.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% | 75.42% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% | 22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.7% | 55.3% |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.39% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.69% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 12.88% 0-2 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 9.27% 0-3 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |