Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Nimes | Draw | Monaco |
16.27% | 21.14% | 62.6% |
Both teams to score 50.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% | 45.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.09% | 67.92% |
Nimes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.88% | 41.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.34% | 77.66% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.04% | 13.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.55% | 41.46% |
Score Analysis |
Nimes | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 5.1% 2-1 @ 4.46% 2-0 @ 2.27% 3-1 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.81% Total : 16.27% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.13% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 0-2 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 6.49% 0-4 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.88% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-5 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.72% Total : 62.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |