Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.57%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Nimes win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lille in this match.