Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.