Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (11.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Rennes in this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Brest |
75.96% | 15.93% | 8.11% |
Both teams to score 41.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% | 43.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.35% | 9.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.79% | 32.21% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.23% | 53.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.87% | 87.13% |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Brest |
2-0 @ 14.18% 1-0 @ 12.13% 3-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 6.86% 4-0 @ 6.46% 4-1 @ 4.01% 5-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.99% Total : 75.95% | 1-1 @ 7.53% 0-0 @ 5.19% 2-2 @ 2.73% Other @ 0.48% Total : 15.93% | 0-1 @ 3.22% 1-2 @ 2.34% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.56% Total : 8.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 65 | 24 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Brest | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 53 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
4 | Lille | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 49 |
5 | Nice | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 44 |
6 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 41 |
8 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Marseille | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 39 |
10 | Rennes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 39 |
11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 36 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 33 |
14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 31 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 28 |
16 | Lorient | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
17 | Metz | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |