Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Lyon win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
51.59% ( 0.18) | 24.41% ( -0.08) | 23.99% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.61% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( 0.21) | 49.16% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% ( 0.19) | 71.23% ( -0.19) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.95% ( 0.15) | 19.04% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.37% ( 0.26) | 50.62% ( -0.26) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% ( 0.02) | 35.01% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.24% ( 0.02) | 71.75% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |