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Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lyon

Brest
1 - 0
Lyon

Mounie (87')
Lees-Melou (31'), Camara (64'), Brassier (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nuamah (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Brest
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-1 Lyon

 Following a dismal start to the season, Lyon will be desperate to benefit from a new manager bounce under Grosso, but Brest will have other ideas as they bid to continue their ascent of the Ligue 1 table. Given that Brest have lost only one of their five matches this term - picking up three wins and one draw in the process - we expect the in-form Pirates to heap more misery on Les Gones. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
29.66% (0.478 0.48) 26.33% (0.0030000000000001 0) 44% (-0.478 -0.48)
Both teams to score 51.23% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.84% (0.214 0.21)53.16% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.27% (0.181 0.18)74.73% (-0.179 -0.18)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (0.46600000000001 0.47)32.57% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (0.518 0.52)69.11% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)24.02% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (-0.199 -0.2)58.28% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Brest 29.66%
    Lyon 44%
    Draw 26.33%
BrestDrawLyon
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.66%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44%

How you voted: Brest vs Lyon

Brest
60.8%
Draw
25.5%
Lyon
13.7%
51
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
0-0
Brest
> Preview
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Brest
2-4
Lyon
Pereira Lage (29'), Mounie (72')
Caqueret (21'), Cherki (32'), Lacazette (35' pen.), Tete (49')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')
Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')
> Preview
Aug 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 1
Lyon
1-1
Brest
Slimani (62')
Slimani (90+2')
Cardona (43')
Magnetti (67')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
2-3
Lyon
Chardonnet (53'), Cardona (74')
Belkebla (40'), Herelle (90+6')
Paqueta (9'), Aouar (29'), Depay (44' pen.)
De Sciglio (56'), Paqueta (90+6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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