Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Brest
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Brest 2-1 Lyon
Following a dismal start to the season, Lyon will be desperate to benefit from a new manager bounce under Grosso, but Brest will have other ideas as they bid to continue their ascent of the Ligue 1 table. Given that Brest have lost only one of their five matches this term - picking up three wins and one draw in the process - we expect the in-form Pirates to heap more misery on Les Gones. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 44%. A win for Brest had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Lyon |
29.66% ( 0.48) | 26.33% ( 0) | 44% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% ( 0.21) | 53.16% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% ( 0.18) | 74.73% ( -0.18) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( 0.47) | 32.57% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.89% ( 0.52) | 69.11% ( -0.52) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.14) | 24.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.72% ( -0.2) | 58.28% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 29.66%
Lyon 44%
Draw 26.33%
| Brest | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 44% |
How you voted: Brest vs Lyon
Brest
60.8%Draw
25.5%Lyon
13.7%51
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Lyon
0-0
Brest
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Aug 7, 2021 4pm
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
2-3
Lyon
