Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Nice2 - 0Rennes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Nice
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Nice 1-0 Rennes
This season's pattern suggests that a draw will not be surprising in what could be a low-scoring affair in Nice, but the home side are backed to edge Sunday's game over Rennes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
36.5% ( -0.03) | 27.58% ( 0.01) | 35.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% ( -0.03) | 56.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% ( -0.03) | 77.61% ( 0.02) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -0.03) | 29.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.18% ( -0.04) | 65.82% ( 0.04) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -0) | 30.11% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.75% ( -0) | 66.25% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Nice 36.49%
Rennes 35.92%
Draw 27.57%
| Nice | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.92% |
How you voted: Nice vs Rennes
Nice
76.1%Draw
11.9%Rennes
11.9%67
