Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Clermont |
49.21% ( 0.39) | 23.34% ( -0.16) | 27.45% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 59.54% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.43% ( 0.58) | 41.57% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.03% ( 0.58) | 63.97% ( -0.58) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.93% ( 0.37) | 17.07% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.75% ( 0.64) | 47.25% ( -0.64) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.8% ( 0.14) | 28.2% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.1% ( 0.17) | 63.9% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Clermont |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.05% Total : 49.21% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |