Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bordeaux |
30.85% | 27.74% | 41.42% |
Both teams to score 47.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.96% | 58.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.28% | 78.72% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.74% | 34.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.04% | 70.96% |
Bordeaux Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% | 27.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.89% | 63.11% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Bordeaux |
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.45% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 12.17% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |