Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
22.91% | 25.28% | 51.81% |
Both teams to score 48.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.4% | 53.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.9% | 75.1% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.54% | 38.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.79% | 75.21% |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% | 20.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% | 53.3% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.61% 2-1 @ 5.72% 2-0 @ 3.63% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.53% Total : 22.91% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 12.53% 0-2 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.52% Total : 51.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |