Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.