Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Strasbourg in this match.
