Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.38%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.