Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.