Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annecy win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annecy win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Annecy in this match.