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Ligue 2 | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Armand Cesari
Nimes logo

Bastia
4 - 2
Nimes

Djoco (28'), Magri (36'), Van Den Kerkhof (74' pen.), Bai (88')
Vincent (16'), Magri (29'), Santelli (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tchokounte (11'), Pagis (50')
Djiga (38'), Tchokounte (73')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Nimes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rodez AF 0-2 Bastia
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 2-0 Nimes
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawNimes
45.05% (0.717 0.72) 28.68% (0.566 0.57) 26.27% (-1.279 -1.28)
Both teams to score 42.71% (-2.257 -2.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.98% (-2.427 -2.43)63.01% (2.429 2.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.52% (-1.793 -1.79)82.48% (1.795 1.79)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.777 -0.78)28% (0.78 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (-1 -1)63.64% (1 1)
Nimes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.32% (-2.466 -2.47)40.68% (2.468 2.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.73% (-2.293 -2.29)77.27% (2.295 2.3)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 45.05%
    Nimes 26.27%
    Draw 28.67%
BastiaDrawNimes
1-0 @ 14.5% (0.97 0.97)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.424 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.92% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 45.05%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.39% (0.99 0.99)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.341 -0.34)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.67%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.398 -0.4)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 6pm
Nimes
0-0
Bastia

Vargas (27')
May 14, 2022 6pm
Nimes
0-2
Bastia

Eliasson (82')
Le Cardinal (48'), Santelli (65')
Zolotov (52')
Jul 24, 2021 2pm
Bastia
1-1
Nimes
Diongue (51')
Sainati (20'), Ducrocq (70')
Fomba (12')
Benrahou (78'), Delpech (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient18104430171334
2Paris FCParis FC18104426151134
3DunkerqueDunkerque1810352823533
4Metz1887324131131
5Annecy188642623330
6Laval1885528181029
7GuingampGuingamp189273124729
8Bastia1851032217525
9Grenoble187382222024
10PauPau186661920-124
11Rodez AFRodez AF186573129223
12Clermont186571619-323
13AmiensAmiens187292025-523
14Red Star186481929-1022
15Troyes186391921-221
16Caen1843111826-815
17Ajaccio1843111123-1215
18Martigues1833121036-2612


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