Ligue 2 | Gameweek 5
Sep 20, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen1 - 0Ajaccio
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Ajaccio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
Result | ||
Caen | Draw | Ajaccio |
40.62% ( -0.07) | 29.51% ( 0) | 29.86% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 42.45% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.73% ( 0.02) | 64.26% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.62% ( 0.01) | 83.37% ( -0.01) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% ( -0.03) | 31.08% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( -0.04) | 67.4% ( 0.04) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.6% ( 0.06) | 38.39% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.85% ( 0.06) | 75.14% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Caen 40.62%
Ajaccio 29.86%
Draw 29.5%
Caen | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.62% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.86% |
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 16, 2021 6pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-30 13:45:36
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Lorient | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 40 |
2 | Metz | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 37 |
3 | Paris FCParis FC | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 37 |
4 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 36 |
5 | GuingampGuingamp | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 35 |
6 | Laval | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 33 |
7 | Annecy | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 33 |
8 | PauPau | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Grenoble | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
10 | Bastia | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 26 |
11 | AmiensAmiens | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
12 | Clermont | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 24 |
13 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 23 |
14 | Red Star | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 22 |
15 | Troyes | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 |
16 | Ajaccio | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 21 |
17 | Caen | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
18 | Martigues | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 37 | -24 | 15 |
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