Ligue 2 | Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Caen0 - 1Guingamp
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Guingamp.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Caen had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Caen win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guingamp in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Guingamp |
32.38% ( -0.04) | 26.83% ( 0.01) | 40.8% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% ( -0.07) | 54.19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% ( -0.05) | 75.6% ( 0.05) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( -0.06) | 31.19% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.47% ( -0.07) | 67.53% ( 0.07) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( -0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.81% ( -0.02) | 61.19% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Caen 32.38%
Guingamp 40.79%
Draw 26.83%
| Caen | Draw | Guingamp |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.79% |
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 4.30pm
Sep 30, 2024 7.45pm
Aug 3, 2024 5pm
Club Friendlies 3
Caen
1-6
Guingamp
Abdi (82')
A. Mendes (27'), Picard (30'), Sabri Guendouz (38'), Louiserre (45+1' pen.), Labeau (61'), Sissoko (90')
Feb 17, 2024 6pm
Sep 30, 2023 6pm
